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01/20/2026

Cox Automotive Forecast: November U.S. New-Vehicle Sales Expected to Decline 8% Year Over Year

Source: Fleet Management Weekly

November’s new-vehicle sales, when announced next week, are expected to fall in both volume and pace from last year’s levels.

Sales volume is expected to fall to 1.27 million, down 1% from October and 7.8% from last year’s finish.

“Sales of EVs and PHEVs accelerated in the wake of the Big Beautiful Bill’s passage in early July as buyers rushed to market before the $7,500 tax credits expired at the end of September,” Cox Automotive Senior Economist Charlie Chesbrough noted. “Q3 was the strongest quarter ever for EVs; however, Q4 is a different story. Sales of EVs and plug-in hybrids are now collapsing after tax credits expired.”

via Cox Automotive

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